Effects of covid 19 on fleet efficiency

[vonfriedman]

Suppose that the infection starts from 10 sailors of an aircraft carrier with about 6000 men on board.
With the growth rate observed so far (around 25% per day), by day 30 the whole crew would have been infected.
The first people recovered would leave the infirmary (a very huge one, indeed) around day 10 or 15.

[oldpop2000]

Mar 12, 2020 6:15:04 GMT -6 vonfriedman said:

Suppose that the infection starts from 10 sailors of an aircraft carrier with about 6000 men on board.
With the growth rate observed so far (around 25% per day), by day 30 the whole crew would have been infected.
The first people recovered would leave the infirmary (a very huge one, indeed) around day 10 or 15.

Well, after testing all the crew, forget about leave. It could be a long voyage. 

[cv10]

Mar 12, 2020 6:15:04 GMT -6 vonfriedman said:

Suppose that the infection starts from 10 sailors of an aircraft carrier with about 6000 men on board.
With the growth rate observed so far (around 25% per day), by day 30 the whole crew would have been infected.
The first people recovered would leave the infirmary (a very huge one, indeed) around day 10 or 15.

    USS Theodore Roosevelt is to undergo quarantine in Guam 

    www.cnn.com/2020/04/01/politics/roosevelt-quarantine-guam/index.html

    The Captain of the TR was the one who was pushing for this:

    www.npr.org/2020/04/01/825640094/top-navy-brass-defend-response-to-virus-stricken-carrier-u-s-s-theodore-roosevel

   

[dohboy]

Apr 2, 2020 8:52:09 GMT -6 cv10 said:

The Captain of the TR was the one who was pushing for this

Loose lips sink careers.

[dohboy]

400 sailors have tested positive and only one has required hospitalization thus far, not exactly yellow fever. The crews of U.S. Navy ships don't seem to be made up of the high risk groups (we don't usually send recruiters to nursing homes). I suspect that if we were in a state of war the impact on efficiency would minimal. The sailors would **** and moan, like they do, and continue hunting the enemy.

[cv10]

Looks like the French got hit rather hard:

www.forbes.com/sites/carlieporterfield/2020/04/18/more-than-1000-french-sailors-test-positive-for-coronavirus-on-a-single-ship/#5036771f3732

and that's out of a crew (including air group) of less than 2000

[dohboy]

Apr 19, 2020 11:40:53 GMT -6 cv10 said:

Looks like the French got hit rather hard:

www.forbes.com/sites/carlieporterfield/2020/04/18/more-than-1000-french-sailors-test-positive-for-coronavirus-on-a-single-ship/#5036771f3732

and that's out of a crew (including air group) of less than 2000

It says in the story that they are still waiting for nearly 1000 test results. I wonder if that was current information, if so that would mean practically every test has been positive.